Прогнозирование социально-экономического развития регионов в условиях неопределенности

Abstract

n solving current economic problems predicting plays a significant role. The prospect of the development of the region depends on the ability to predict trends in the development of the situation and the results of management decisions. The article presents the main stages of predicting; important approaches of predicting practices are considered. The concepts of risk and uncertainty, as a major source of problems in predicting the social and economic processes, are revealed; the model choice of decisions under conditions of risk and uncertainty is marked, as well as the mathematical tools of decision making under uncertainty and risk; the factors affecting the quality of predicting the regional development are presented.